Wael Lasheen1 and Declan Walsh1,2*
Received: March 01, 2024; Published: April 22, 2024
*Corresponding author: Declan Walsh, Chair, Department of Supportive Oncology, The Hemby Family Endowed Chair in Supportive Oncology, Levine Cancer Institute Atrium Health, Professor of Medicine, Atrium Health Director, Center of Supportive Care and Survivorship, Editor-in-Chief, BMJ Supportive and Palliative Care 1021 Morehead Medical Drive, Suite 70100 Charlotte, NC 28202, USA
DOI: 10.26717/BJSTR.2024.56.008828
Background: C-Reactive Protein (CRP) is associated with cancer development, survival, and tumor
recurrence. A barrier to its use is the inability to interpret changes in CRP levels. The aim of this study was to
determine when a change in CRP is clinically meaningful.
Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study of consecutive cancer patients. Those with a solid tumor
diagnosis and at least two consecutive CRP measurements post-diagnosis were included. Subjects were
divided into Baseline High CRP (bHCRP; CRP≥10 mg/L) and Baseline Normal CRP groups (bNCRP; CRP<10
mg/L), We identified appropriate CRP cut-off points for CRP levels changes; compared bHCRP and bNCRP;
constructed Kaplan-Meier survival plots and Cox Proportional Hazard Model to confirm cut-off points in each
group.
Results: 1473 were eligible. In bHCRP group, Overall survival (OS) Mean (Standard Error) was 87(2) and
81(4) months for ≥50% vs <50% CRP decrease respectively. In bNCRP group, OS was 90(3) and 105(3) months
for ≥2x vs <2x increase in CRP levels, respectively. These differences remained significant after adjusting for
confounders.
Conclusion: After a baseline normal CRP an increase of 2-fold or greater was associated with clinical and
statistically significantly shorter OS. Conversely, after a baseline high CRP a 50% or greater decrease from
baseline was associated with longer OS. Quantification of clinically meaningful CRP change could impact more
effective CRP use as a biomarker, prognostic indicator and aid therapeutic decision making. This is especially
important to reduce healthcare disparities in financially struggling healthcare systems.
Abbreviations: CRP: C-Reactive Protein; GPS: Glasgow Prognostic Score; EMR: Electronic Medical Records; OS: Overall Survival; SD: Standard Deviation; SE: Standard Error; HR: Hazard Ratios; CPHM: Cox Proportional Hazard Model; CI: Confidence Intervals
C-Reactive Protein (CRP), part of the innate immune response, is produced mainly by the liver [1]. In healthy individuals, median CRP concentration is 0.8 mg/L (range 0-10 mg/L) [2]. The wide range is explained by genetic factors (50%), [3] age, body mass index, physical inactivity, race, and tobacco smoking [4,5]. CRP levels ≥10 mg/L are associated with acute infection, autoimmune diseases, inflammation, trauma, and tumors [6]. Although Elevated CRP may persist in chronic conditions, it remains stable over time in healthy individuals making it a candidate for tumor screening [7,8] Indeed, elevated CRP in healthy subjects was associated with later cancer development [9-11]. This association was strongest in Asians (breast cancer), and in men (colorectal cancer) [12,13]. We previously examined the relationship between a single CRP assessment and survival (N=4971); higher CRP values were associated with earlier death, even among those with higher normal levels [14]. Also, tumor expressed CRP when present, was independently associated with survival [15]. In cancer, high CRP was prognostic in 90% of 271 studies and associated with recurrence [16]. Hybrid scores with albumin were created: CRP/Albumin Ratio, Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS), and modified GPS [17]. Despite the association between CRP and later cancer development, shorter survival, and cancer recurrence, it is used inconsistently in routine practice. A major challenge is the inability to interpret changes in CRP levels. The objective of this study was to determine when a change in CRP is clinically meaningful.
Study Design/Population/Measures
This is a retrospective cohort study of Electronic Medical Records (EMR; My Practice/EPIC, Epic Systems Corporation, WI, USA). The Cleveland Clinic IRB approved the protocol and waived informed consent. Consecutive subjects presented, to the Taussig Cancer Institute, between 2006-2012 with a solid tumor, and at least two CRP measurements post-diagnosis were included. We excluded age <18, CRP assessments <7 days apart, hematologic malignancy, or those with missing data. We used the first CRP value present after diagnosis (baseline) and the second value reported thereafter. In 2020, we retrieved death date from the EMR or Social Security Death Index. The endpoint was Overall Survival (OS), defined as months from tumor diagnosis to death. Detailed description of data elements was reported elsewhere [16]. Subjects were divided into baseline: high CRP (bHCRP; CRP≥10 mg/L) and normal CRP groups (bNCRP; CRP<10 mg/L) because these groups were biologically different (Table 1).
Note: a. Other than Aspirin
Numbers rounded to the nearest whole number and p-values to one significant figure.
p-value <0.05 is considered statistically significant.
Statistical Analysis
We report mean and Standard Deviation/Error (SD/SE) or Median and Range (R) for continuous variables; and counts and percentages (%) for categorical variables. Percentages were rounded to the nearest whole number and numbers to one significant figure, unless otherwise specified. Categorical variables were compared by the Chi-square test or Fisher Exact test, and continuous variables by appropriate parametric and nonparametric tests. Percentage change in CRP (%ΔCRP) was defined as ((second CRP assessment– baseline CRP assessment) /baseline CRP assessment)) *100. Cut-off points for %ΔCRP was determined using literature reports, median and quartile range, and/or Receiver Operator Curve analysis, when an appropriate sample size was available [18]. We determined the Cut-off points to be 50% decrease or a 2-fold increase in CRP. To confirm cut off points we used Kaplan-Meier survival plots, log-rank test, and constructed Cox Proportional Hazard Model (CPHM) for bHCRP and bNCRP groups separately. Models were adjusted to account for potential confounders (Age; Body Mass Index; Cancer Site and Stage; Cancer Treatment; Comorbidities: arthritis, gastro-intestinal, heart, inflammatory, liver, and thromboembolic diseases; Gender; Metastatic Disease; Race; White Blood Cell Count (proxy for inflammation and infection)). Results are shown as Hazard Ratios (HR) with 95% Confidence Intervals (CI). We used Goodness-of-Fit to assess CPHM. Variables significant on univariate analysis or of known clinical significance were included in the models. A clinically meaningful survival benefit was reported to be two months or more [19]. Sample size calculation was not done due to the exploratory nature of this study. Statistical tests were two-sided and a p-value<0.05 indicated statistical significance. Analyses were performed with SAS software (SAS® On Demand for Academics. Cary, NC: SAS Institute Inc.).
Demographic
7716 presented with a solid tumor (2006–2012).1473 had at least two CRP assessments ≥7 days apart. Those in the bNCRP group(n=530) were more likely to be female, breast or skin cancer, lower BMI, and longer OS. The bHCRP group(n=943) was more likely gastrointestinal cancers, higher total white blood cell count, liver disease, metastatic disease, and prior surgery (Table 1).
Kaplan Meier Survival Estimation
OS in bHCRP was, mean (SE), 87(2) and 81(4) months for subsequent ≥50% and <50% CRP decrease; and in bNCRP, 90(3) and 105(3) months for ≥2-fold and < 2-fold increase (Figures 1A & 1B).
Cox Proportional Model Analysis
In bHCRP, CRP increase did not predict OS, but a ≥50% decrease had a 40% lower mortality risk compared to <50%. In bNCRP, a CRP decrease did not predict OS, but a ≥2-fold increase doubled the mortality risk compared to a lower increase (Table 2).
Table 2: Cox Proportional Hazard Models for Overall Survival in baseline high C-Reactive Protein Group and Baseline Normal CRP Group.
Note: Model adjusted for Age; Body Mass Index; Cancer Site and Stage; Cancer Treatment: Chemotherapy, Surgery; Comorbidities: arthritis, gastro-intestinal, heart, inflammatory, liver, and thromboembolic diseases; Gender; Metastatic Disease; Race; White Blood Cell Count (proxy for infection)
DF: Degrees of Freedom; HR: Hazard Ratio
p-value <0.05 is considered statistically significant.
We were able to quantify “how much change in CRP is significant” after cancer diagnosis. At least a 2-fold increase after a bNCRP and a 50% decrease in bHCRP was associated with OS. That remained statistically and clinically meaningful after adjustment for confounders. No prior studies, to our knowledge, examined longitudinal CRP changes post cancer diagnosis. Two studies evaluated the risk of de novo cancer development. In a Danish general population (N=10,408; follow up for16 years) the risk of new cancer development was 2-fold for lung cancer in the highest versus lowest CRP quintiles [9]. Similarly in another study (N=592), there was a 2-fold greater risk of de novo cancer development.10 Although these studies lacked post diagnosis longitudinal CRP assessment, they lend support to use of a 2-fold CRP increase as clinically important.
Limitations
Unknown indication for CRP assessment; although we accounted for multiple conditions an unknown confounder may still bias the results, dividing subjects reduced final subgroups’ sample sizes. Future studies should conduct a more comprehensive evaluation in a larger prospective design to confirm our findings and confirm their generalizability. CRP is a cheap, readily available, non-invasive biomarker. It could be used in multiple solid tumors using our approach to screen for disease progression or regression. We present a novel approach to interpret CRP changes, in a large sample, of mixed solid tumors, representative of those typically presenting to a cancer center. We did not incorporate complex CRP and albumin algorithms in favor of a simple method easily incorporated into practice. We defined parameters for clinically meaningful change in CRP in cancer patients. This will reduce healthcare disparities in cash-strapped systems.
In solid tumors, after a baseline normal CRP an increase of at least 2-fold reflects shorter OS, while a decrease of at least 50% after a baseline high CRP, was associated with longer OS. Serial CRP measurement after diagnosis may accurately reflect disease progression or regression. Quantification of clinically meaningful CRP change could eliminate a barrier to more effective CRP use as a biomarker and prognostic indicator and aid therapeutic decision making. Use of cheap biomarkers like CRP will reduce health disparities especially in developing countries. A large prospective study is needed to confirm our findings.
We acknowledge Aynur Aktas, MD for her involvement in data acquisition.
• Wael Lasheen: No conflict of interest to disclose.
• Declan Walsh: No conflict of interest to disclose.
• Wael Lasheen: No financial disclosures to report.
• Declan Walsh: No financial disclosures to report.